Adaptive prediction for functional time series
1 : Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique [Bruz]
* : Auteur correspondant
Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Analyse de l'Information [Bruz]
An adaptive procedure for curve prediction for a stationary functional time series is proposed. The sample paths of the functional times series are assumed to be irregular and are observed with error at discrete times in the domain. Our linear predictor is based on the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) and on the adaptive nonparametric mean and autocovariance functions estimators. That is, the bandwidth parameters of these estimators are chosen adaptively with respect to the local regularity of the sample paths. The benefit of such a procedure will be a reduction in risk prediction compared to existing procedures.
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